Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Soares T. (Bra)


	Pedro Sakamoto		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.88	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.9
	1.93	1.9
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.85	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.55)	1.86 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sakamoto
49.8%

Gonzalo Villanueva
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Villanueva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Villanueva will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villanueva: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sakamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sakamoto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sakamoto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Luis Augusto Queiroz Miguel	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
14.04.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Bruno Fernandez	Sakamoto P. retired ✺
01.04.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WL??L
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Wilson Leite - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Luis Felipe Miguel - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.22	Gonzalo Villanueva - Pedro Sakamoto	Sakamoto P. retired
ITF Tournaments
14.02.20	Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0

Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide