Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre (Brazil), clay

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.35
	1.52	2.4
	1.57	2.46
	1.57	2.46
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.59	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)	2.32 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
59.7%

Pedro Sakamoto
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Sakamoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lautaro Midon - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Midon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
20.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Franco Roncadelli - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Bautista Vilicich - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Bruno Fernandez	Sakamoto P. retired ✺
01.04.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 ?LLWL

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