Match Info

Date: 20 May 2021, Thursday


	Pedro Sousa		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.22	1.57
	2.32	1.62
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
41.1%

Hugo Gaston
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Pedro Sousa - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Gaston will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sousa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sousa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ATP Challenger
19.05.21	Pedro Sousa - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
18.05.21	Pedro Sousa - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
11.05.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
04.05.21	Pedro Sousa - Joao Menezes	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
24.04.21	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?LLL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
19.05.21	Hugo Gaston - Emilio Gomez	2:0 ✺
18.05.21	Hugo Gaston - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
03.05.21	Alexandre Muller - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
27.04.21	Andrea Collarini - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
25.04.21	Hugo Gaston - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Pedro Sousa - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide