Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 FARO (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 February 2023, Thursday


	Pedro Sousa		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	1.97	1.75
	2.42	1.52
	2.1	1.67
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.01	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.89)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Sousa
42.1%

Lucas Poullain
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Sousa's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sousa than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pedro Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Poullain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Sousa
ITF Tournaments
21.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Pedro Sousa - Gabriel Elicha Navas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.01.23	Pedro Sousa - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
11.01.23	Pedro Sousa - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
22.02.23	Lucas Poullain - Antoine Hoang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
24.01.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
23.01.23	Lucas Poullain - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.23	Gauthier Onclin - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL

Pedro Sousa - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide