Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Fuzhou (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Pengyu Lu		Charles Chen

	1	2
	3.35	1.27
	3.25	1.3
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.52)	1.28 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pengyu Lu
27.6%

Charles Chen
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pengyu Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pengyu Lu's form might have worsened.

Charles Chen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charles Chen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pengyu Lu than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pengyu Lu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charles Chen than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charles Chen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pengyu Lu - Charles Chen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lu is ranked ATP: 977. Chen is ranked ATP: 1315.

Lu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Chen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pengyu Lu
ITF Tournaments
17.09.24	Pengyu Lu - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Evgeny Donskoy - Pengyu Lu	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pengyu Lu - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Blake Mott - Pengyu Lu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.24	Pengyu Lu - Mukund Sasikumar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLL
- Charles Chen
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Charles Chen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Charles Chen - Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Nick Chappell - Charles Chen	Chappell N. retired ✺
01.09.24	Charles Chen - Kris van Wyk	0:2 ✺
19.08.24	Sanhui Shin - Charles Chen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?LL

Pengyu Lu - Charles Chen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide