Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN MARINO (SAN MARINO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Peter Heller		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.68	2.13
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.9)	2.14 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peter Heller
56.6%

Marcello Serafini
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peter Heller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peter Heller's performance.

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcello Serafini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peter Heller than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peter Heller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcello Serafini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Peter Heller - Marcello Serafini Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Heller will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Serafini will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heller: 48.9% – 92.3%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Heller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peter Heller
ITF Tournaments
28.07.23	Oliver Crawford - Peter Heller	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Peter Heller - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Peter Heller - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
21.07.23	Peter Heller - Daniel Siniakov	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Peter Heller - Ondrej Horak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW
- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
23.07.23	Valentin Royer - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Marcello Serafini - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Francesco Forti - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW

Peter Heller - Marcello Serafini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide