Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Petr Nesterov		Radu Albot

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.52	2.35
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.51	2.30
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.54	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
60.2%

Radu Albot
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Radu Albot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radu Albot, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Petr Nesterov - Radu Albot Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nesterov will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Albot will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 300., and Albot is ranked ATP: 464..

Nesterov is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Albot has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Albot could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nesterov holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.46%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Radu Albot - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Carlos Taberner - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Petr Nesterov - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Petr Nesterov - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL
- Radu Albot
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Yanki Erel - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Radu Albot - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Radu Albot - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Radu Albot - Aleksandr Braynin	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Radu Albot - Leonardo Rossi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

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