Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 9, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Petr Nesterov		Romain Faucon

	1	2
	1.34	3.07
	1.12	4.92	Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.31	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.57 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
73.8%

Romain Faucon
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Romain Faucon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romain Faucon than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Petr Nesterov - Romain Faucon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 525. Faucon is ranked ATP: 1034.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Faucon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nesterov is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Petr Nesterov - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Miles Jones - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Petr Nesterov - Radu David Turcanu	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Viktor Kirov - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Romain Faucon
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Romain Faucon - Andrin Casanova	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Romain Faucon - Dominik Kellovsky	Faucon R. retired ✺
25.09.25	Jacob Bradshaw - Romain Faucon	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Romain Faucon - Henry Lieberman	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Elgin Khoeblal - Romain Faucon	Faucon R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?LW?

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