Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Petra Marcinko		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	1.18	4.5
	1.2	4.25
	1.2	4.3
	1.21	4.58
	1.19	4.53	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.22	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)	4.34 ↑ (3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
78.3%

Alina Charaeva
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Marcinko's performance.

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alina Charaeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 115. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 196.

Marcinko has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Charaeva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marcinko is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Janice Tjen	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ayana Akli - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Iryna Shymanovich	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Alina Charaeva
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Monika Ekstrand - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Katerina Siniakova - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Alina Charaeva - Anastasia Kulikova	Kulikova A. retired ✺
17.07.25	Vitalia Diatchenko - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Lena Couto - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WL?LW

Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide