Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Petra Marcinko		Dominika Salkova

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.13
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.73	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petra Marcinko
53.7%

Dominika Salkova
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Marcinko's performance.

Dominika Salkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominika Salkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Petra Marcinko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominika Salkova than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominika Salkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Petra Marcinko - Dominika Salkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Salkova will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petra Marcinko will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marcinko is ranked WTA: 177. Salkova is ranked WTA: 165.

Marcinko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Salkova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Salkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Salkova will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcinko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Dominika Salkova - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petra Marcinko
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Francesca Jones - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Petra Marcinko - Lola Radivojevic	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Sara Saito - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Destanee Aiava - Petra Marcinko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL
- Dominika Salkova
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Jessica Pieri - Dominika Salkova	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Isabella Shinikova - Dominika Salkova	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Tara Wurth - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Samira De Stefano	2:0 ✺
19.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.04.23	Dominika Salkova - Petra Marcinko	2:1

Petra Marcinko - Dominika Salkova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide