Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Contrexeville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Sara Saito		Petra Marcinko

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.15	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.31
			Watch
	2.75	1.4
	3.27	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (1.5)	1.34 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
30%

Petra Marcinko
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Saito's form might have worsened.

Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petra Marcinko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+32.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Saito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-32.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petra Marcinko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Sara Saito - Petra Marcinko Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Saito will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Marcinko will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Marcinko (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petra Marcinko will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Saito (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Marcinko (votes: 12 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saito is ranked WTA: 252. Marcinko is ranked WTA: 177.

Saito has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marcinko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marcinko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Sara Saito - Eva Maria Ionescu	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Sara Saito - Marina Bassols Ribera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Sara Saito - Valentina Ryser	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Sara Saito - Ranah Akua Stoiber	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Dominika Salkova - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Petra Marcinko
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Destanee Aiava - Petra Marcinko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Tereza Valentova - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
13.06.25	Petra Marcinko - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Petra Marcinko - Tatiana Prozorova	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Panna Udvardy - Petra Marcinko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Sara Saito - Petra Marcinko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide