Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Peyton Stearns		Sloane Stephens

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.44	2.80	Watch
	1.57	2.46	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.56	2.49	Watch
	1.55	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	2.48 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
61.5%

Sloane Stephens
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peyton Stearns's performance.

Sloane Stephens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloane Stephens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peyton Stearns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloane Stephens than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloane Stephens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Peyton Stearns - Sloane Stephens Predictions

Users Predictions: Peyton Stearns will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stearns is ranked WTA: 60. Stephens is ranked WTA: 169.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stephens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stearns might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stearns won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
WTA Guadalajara
15.09.26	Diane Parry - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Peyton Stearns - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Harriet Dart - Peyton Stearns	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Peyton Stearns - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Peyton Stearns - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLW
- Sloane Stephens
WTA Guadalajara
15.09.26	Sloane Stephens - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Carole Monnet - Sloane Stephens	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Sloane Stephens - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.08.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Sloane Stephens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Rouen
15.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Peyton Stearns	2:1
WTA Rabat
25.05.23	Peyton Stearns - Sloane Stephens	1:2

Peyton Stearns - Sloane Stephens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide