Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Philip Henning		Thijs Boogaard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	2.68 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Henning
65.4%

Thijs Boogaard
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Henning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Thijs Boogaard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thijs Boogaard than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Philip Henning - Thijs Boogaard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Henning is ranked ATP: 266., and Boogaard is ranked ATP: 481..

In recent outings, Henning has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Boogaard is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Henning may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Henning is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Philip Henning - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 68.24%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Philip Henning - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Alec Deckers - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Robin Bertrand - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Joao Dinis Silva - Philip Henning	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWW
- Thijs Boogaard
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Lucas Renard - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Love Nyqvist - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Thijs Boogaard - Sergey Petrov	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Thijs Boogaard - Conor Gannon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

Philip Henning - Thijs Boogaard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide