Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seoul - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Philip Sekulic		Ryuki Matsuda

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.05	Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
			Watch
	1.34	3.12	Watch
	1.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)	2.75 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Sekulic
64.6%

Ryuki Matsuda
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Sekulic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Sekulic's performance.

Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryuki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Sekulic than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philip Sekulic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryuki Matsuda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Philip Sekulic - Ryuki Matsuda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sekulic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Philip Sekulic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sekulic is ranked ATP: 444. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 501.

In recent matches, Sekulic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Matsuda is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sekulic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sekulic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sekulic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Philip Sekulic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Ryuki Matsuda - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Sekulic
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Philip Sekulic - Samir Banerjee	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Philip Sekulic - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Philip Sekulic - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Mitchell Krueger - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW
- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Micah Braswell - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Bryce Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Aidan Kim - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Philip Sekulic - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0

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