Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Lodde R. (Ita)


	Pierluigi Basile		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.36	1.34
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	2.96	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.72)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pierluigi Basile
29.3%

Gabriele Pennaforti
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pierluigi Basile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierluigi Basile than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pierluigi Basile - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabriele Pennaforti will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basile is ranked ATP: 1843. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 446.

Recent matches Basile is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pennaforti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pennaforti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pennaforti is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pennaforti to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pierluigi Basile
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Pierluigi Basile - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Valerio Aboian - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.24	Josip Simundza - Pierluigi Basile	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Pierluigi Basile - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Pierluigi Basile - Lorenzo Vatteroni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Marco Cecchinato - Gabriele Pennaforti	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.08.24	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
09.08.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
07.08.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 ?LWWW

Pierluigi Basile - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide