Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Montesilvano (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.86	1.81
	1.97	1.8
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.81	Watch
	1.86	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.17)	1.81 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
48.7%

Alexey Vatutin
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriele Pennaforti's performance.

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexey Vatutin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Pennaforti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexey Vatutin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriele Pennaforti - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 451. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 410.

Pennaforti is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vatutin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vatutin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
07.08.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Andrea Bacaloni	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Vlad Andrei Dancu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
07.08.24	Lorenzo Rottoli - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Luciano Carraro - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.24	Alexey Vatutin - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Alexey Vatutin - Dylan Dietrich	Canceled ✺
08.07.24	Tom Gentzsch - Alexey Vatutin	Vatutin A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWL??

Gabriele Pennaforti - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide