The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pierre-Hugues Herbert 40.9%
Aslan Karatsev 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pierre-Hugues Herbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pierre-Hugues Herbert's form might have worsened.
Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
0%
63.2%
Pierre Hugues Herbert - Aslan Karatsev Predictions
Users Predictions:
68 users predict this event. Herbert will win (votes: 25 - 36.8%). Karatsev will win (votes: 43 - 63.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 51.7% – 74.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Herbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Herbert will have a small advantage in this match.