Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 17 August 2025, Sunday
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Pietro Orlando Fellin |
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Connor Thomson |
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- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Pietro Orlando Fellin
65.4% | Connor Thomson
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietro Orlando Fellin's performance.Connor Thomson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Connor Thomson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pietro Orlando Fellin that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connor Thomson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Pietro Orlando Fellin - Connor Thomson Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fellin (votes: 1 - 50%). Thomson (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Pietro Orlando Fellin will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Fellin is ranked ATP: 561. Thomson is ranked ATP: 1359.Recent performances by Fellin have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Thomson is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Thomson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Fellin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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