Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Aldershot, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 14 August 2025, Thursday
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 |
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Connor Thomson |
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James Story |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.8 |
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1.36 |
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 |
2.74 |
|
1.41 |
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 |
2.98 |
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1.33 |
 Watch |
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3 |
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1.36 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
2.95 |
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1.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(2.95) |
|
1.36 ↑
(1.35) |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Connor Thomson
32% | James Story
68% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connor Thomson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)James Story has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connor Thomson than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Connor Thomson that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Story than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Story could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Connor Thomson - James Story Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Thomson (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5.5 Games - Thomson (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Thomson (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Thomson is ranked ATP: 1359. Story is ranked ATP: 554.Thomson has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Story is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Story may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Story is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thomson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 08.07.25 | Connor Thomson - James Story | 2:1 |
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