Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Pol Martin Tiffon		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.91
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.46	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	2 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pol Martin Tiffon
52.7%

Thiago Monteiro
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pol Martin Tiffon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pol Martin Tiffon - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 231. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 284.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Martin Tiffon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Martin Tiffon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pol Martin Tiffon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Rayen Hermassi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Thiago Monteiro - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Thiago Monteiro - Inaki Montes De La Torre	Canceled ✺
13.05.26	Thiago Monteiro - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	Andrej Nedic - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Noa Vukadin - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Thiago Monteiro	1:2

Pol Martin Tiffon - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide