Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Polina Iatcenko		Destanee Aiava

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	2.26 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
58.5%

Destanee Aiava
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Destanee Aiava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Destanee Aiava than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Polina Iatcenko - Destanee Aiava Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Iatcenko will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aiava will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 3 - 50%). Aiava (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 163. Aiava is ranked WTA: 235.

Iatcenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aiava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aiava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Iatcenko might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Sijia Wei	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Mika Stojsavljevic - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Polina Iatcenko - Vendula Valdmannova	Valdmannova V. retired ✺
01.12.25	Freya Christie - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWL?W
- Destanee Aiava
ITF Tournaments
25.11.25	Destanee Aiava - Storm Hunter	1:2 ✺
18.11.25	Gabriella Da Silva Fick - Destanee Aiava	Aiava D. retired ✺
13.11.25	Katie Swan - Destanee Aiava	2:1 ✺
12.11.25	Saki Imamura - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Naho Sato - Destanee Aiava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LWW

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