Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Polina Iatcenko		Ena Shibahara

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.19	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.84)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
56.9%

Ena Shibahara
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Iatcenko's performance.

Ena Shibahara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ena Shibahara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Polina Iatcenko - Ena Shibahara Predictions

Users Predictions: Polina Iatcenko will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polina Iatcenko will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 169. Shibahara is ranked WTA: 193.

Iatcenko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ena Shibahara - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Polina Iatcenko - Sijia Wei	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Mika Stojsavljevic - Polina Iatcenko	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Polina Iatcenko - Vendula Valdmannova	Valdmannova V. retired ✺
01.12.25	Freya Christie - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Tara Wurth - Polina Iatcenko	Iatcenko P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WL?W?
- Ena Shibahara
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Stefi Webb - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
27.10.25	Ena Shibahara - Anastasia Zakharova	0:2 ✺
WTA Tokyo
18.10.25	Ena Shibahara - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Osaka
14.10.25	Marie Bouzkova - Ena Shibahara	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Ena Shibahara - Priscilla Hon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Polina Iatcenko - Ena Shibahara