Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Dubrovnik, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Polona Hercog		Tamara Korpatsch

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.47	Watch
	2.34	1.53
	1.93	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.67)	1.59 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
40.9%

Tamara Korpatsch
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polona Hercog's form might have worsened.

Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamara Korpatsch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polona Hercog, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamara Korpatsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Polona Hercog - Tamara Korpatsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hercog will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Korpatsch will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hercog: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polona Hercog will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hercog is ranked WTA: 303. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 112.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hercog may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hercog won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Tamara Korpatsch - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.28%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Elena Pridankina - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Jule Niemeier - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Nika Radisic - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Polona Hercog - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alevtina Ibragimova - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Tamara Korpatsch
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Ana Konjuh - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Jeline Vandromme	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Oceane Dodin - Tamara Korpatsch	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
07.02.26	Katie Boulter - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Diane Parry - Tamara Korpatsch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.17	Tamara Korpatsch - Polona Hercog	0:2

Polona Hercog - Tamara Korpatsch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide