Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Polona Hercog		Timea Babos

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.78	2.06
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.87	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.13)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
51.9%

Timea Babos
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polona Hercog's performance.

Timea Babos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timea Babos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polona Hercog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timea Babos than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timea Babos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Polona Hercog - Timea Babos Predictions

Users Predictions: Polona Hercog will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Hercog is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Babos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hercog could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Babos to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hercog won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Sara Bejlek - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Polona Hercog - Timea Babos	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. retired ✺
16.02.24	Cristina Dinu - Polona Hercog	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WL?LW
- Timea Babos
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Timea Babos - Ipek Oz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Timea Babos - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Timea Babos	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Eudice Wong Chong - Timea Babos	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Polona Hercog - Timea Babos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Polona Hercog - Timea Babos	0:2
WTA Rabat
25.04.16	Polona Hercog - Timea Babos	1:2
WTA Monterrey
01.03.16	Timea Babos - Polona Hercog	0:2
WTA Bad Gastein
21.07.15	Timea Babos - Polona Hercog	0:2

Polona Hercog - Timea Babos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide