Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: MONTEVIDEO (URUGUAY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 December 2023, Tuesday


	Polona Hercog		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.54
	1.54	2.54
	1.57	2.25
	1.52	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.62)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
61.6%

Varvara Lepchenko
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Polona Hercog - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hercog will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hercog: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Hercog is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lepchenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hercog could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hercog will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hercog won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
02.12.23	Polona Hercog - Julia Riera	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Polona Hercog - Valeriya Strakhova	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	Canceled ✺
27.11.23	Carole Monnet - Polona Hercog	Monnet C. retired ✺
23.11.23	Polona Hercog - Nadia Podoroska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LW??L
- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
04.12.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Romina Ccuno	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Solana Sierra - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
27.11.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Francesca Mattioli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Ana Sofia Sanchez	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Panna Udvardy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
06.07.17	Varvara Lepchenko - Polona Hercog	1:2
WTA Hertogenbosch
07.06.16	Polona Hercog - Varvara Lepchenko	Hercog P. retired
WTA Australian Open
14.01.13	Varvara Lepchenko - Polona Hercog	2:0
WTA Charleston
04.04.12	Varvara Lepchenko - Polona Hercog	N/A

Polona Hercog - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide