Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Leolia Jeanjean		Polona Hercog

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.66
	1.5	2.53	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)	2.58 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leolia Jeanjean
63.7%

Polona Hercog
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leolia Jeanjean has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leolia Jeanjean's performance.

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polona Hercog might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leolia Jeanjean than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leolia Jeanjean that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polona Hercog could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Hercog (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leolia Jeanjean will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leolia Jeanjean will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeanjean (votes: 9 - 90%). Hercog (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jeanjean is ranked WTA: 102. Hercog is ranked WTA: 672.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jeanjean won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Leolia Jeanjean - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.96%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leolia Jeanjean
ATP Challenger
05.12.25	Veronika Erjavec - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Sada Nahimana - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Eva Vedder - Leolia Jeanjean	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Luisina Giovannini - Leolia Jeanjean	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
05.12.25	Elvina Kalieva - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Polona Hercog - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:1 ✺
01.12.25	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Polona Hercog - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog	Canceled

Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide