Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Qinwen Zheng		Cori Gauff

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.56	1.57
	2.51	1.55	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qinwen Zheng
36.9%

Cori Gauff
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cori Gauff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Qinwen Zheng - Cori Gauff Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zheng will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Gauff will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 5 - 50%). Gauff (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Gauff (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Gauff (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zheng is ranked WTA: 8. Gauff is ranked WTA: 3.

Now, both players are in good form.

Zheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gauff is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zheng won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Roma
14.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Bianca Vanessa Andreescu - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Magdalena Frech - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Olga Danilovic - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Anastasia Potapova - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL
- Cori Gauff
WTA Roma
14.05.25	Cori Gauff - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Cori Gauff - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Cori Gauff - Magda Linette	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Cori Gauff - Victoria Mboko	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
03.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
09.11.24	Cori Gauff - Qinwen Zheng	2:1
WTA Roma
14.05.24	Cori Gauff - Qinwen Zheng	2:0

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