Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Anastasia Potapova		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.25	1.35
	3.34	1.36
	2.95	1.39	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.17	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.56)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Potapova
30%

Qinwen Zheng
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Potapova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasia Potapova's form might have worsened.

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qinwen Zheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasia Potapova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qinwen Zheng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Anastasia Potapova - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Qinwen Zheng will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potapova is ranked WTA: 39. Zheng is ranked WTA: 8.

Two players are playing changeable.

Potapova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zheng is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Potapova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	Sabalenka A. walkover ✺
14.04.25	Anastasia Potapova - Clara Tauson	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Anastasia Potapova - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Anastasia Potapova - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 W?WLL
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Charleston
04.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Qinwen Zheng - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
25.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Qinwen Zheng - Ashlyn Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Anastasia Potapova - Qinwen Zheng	0:2
WTA Miami
27.03.23	Qinwen Zheng - Anastasia Potapova	0:2
WTA Adelaide 2
07.01.23	Qinwen Zheng - Anastasia Potapova	2:1
WTA US Open
01.09.22	Anastasia Potapova - Qinwen Zheng	0:2

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