Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Quentin Halys		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.04	Watch
	1.28	3.69	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.04	Watch
	1.77	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.01)	2.3 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
57.5%

Alejandro Tabilo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quentin Halys's performance.

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quentin Halys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Quentin Halys - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Halys will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halys: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Halys (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Quentin Halys will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Halys (votes: 8 - 80%). Tabilo (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Halys is ranked ATP: 85. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 81.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Halys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Halys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Tomas Machac - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Adam Walton - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Quentin Halys - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
12.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Isaac Becroft - Alejandro Tabilo	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
11.06.22	Quentin Halys - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0

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