Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Yi Zhou

	1	2
			Watch
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	2.21 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
57.6%

Yi Zhou
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yi Zhou's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alejandro Tabilo - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Zhou will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 82. Zhou is ranked ATP: 250.

Tabilo might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Athens
04.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Chris Rodesch - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Yi Zhou
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Yi Zhou - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Yi Zhou - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Yi Zhou - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Taro Daniel - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Sanhui Shin - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

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