Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday


	Quentin Halys		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.92	Watch
	1.86	1.97
	1.86	1.97
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.76	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)	1.94 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
51.8%

Emilio Nava
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quentin Halys's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quentin Halys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Quentin Halys - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Halys will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Nava will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 82% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Halys is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nava is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Halys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Quentin Halys - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.24	Titouan Droguet - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Charlie Camus - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Zsombor Piros - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Emilio Nava - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Vit Kopriva - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Denis Kudla - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Steve Johnson - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW

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