Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Quinn Vandecasteele		Trevor Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.62	1.28
	3.51	1.27	Watch
	3.47	1.3	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (1.84)	1.38 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quinn Vandecasteele
30.2%

Trevor Svajda
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quinn Vandecasteele's form might have worsened.

Trevor Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trevor Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quinn Vandecasteele, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trevor Svajda than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trevor Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 784. Svajda is ranked ATP: 565.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vandecasteele may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Svajda is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Quinn Vandecasteele - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinn Vandecasteele
ITF Tournaments
31.07.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Aidan McHugh	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Ryan Fishback - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Blaise Bicknell	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
24.07.25	Cooper Woestendick - Quinn Vandecasteele	Woestendick C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLW?
- Trevor Svajda
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Alex Rybakov - Trevor Svajda	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Trevor Svajda - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Trevor Svajda - Aidan Kim	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Trevor Svajda - Sekou Bangoura	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Trevor Svajda - Lucas Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Quinn Vandecasteele - Trevor Svajda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide