Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Guerfi Garate K. (Esp)


	Radu Albot		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.21	1.69
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.01	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.6)	1.73 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radu Albot
45.5%

Thiago Monteiro
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radu Albot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radu Albot's form might have worsened.

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Monteiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radu Albot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Radu Albot - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Albot will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Monteiro will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 74.3% – 100%.

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Preview

Albot is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Albot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radu Albot
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
18.04.24	Joao Fonseca - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Radu Albot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Radu Albot - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Radu Albot - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Lucas Pouille - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Jaime Faria - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Thiago Monteiro - Bogdan Bobrov	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Orlando Luz - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
24.05.21	Radu Albot - Thiago Monteiro	0:2

Radu Albot - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide