Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Radu Mihai Papoe		Imanol Lopez Morillo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.45
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.25	3.4
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radu Mihai Papoe
72.6%

Imanol Lopez Morillo
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radu Mihai Papoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Imanol Lopez Morillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radu Mihai Papoe than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radu Mihai Papoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imanol Lopez Morillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radu Mihai Papoe - Imanol Lopez Morillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Papoe is ranked ATP: 566. Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 623.

Papoe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lopez Morillo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lopez Morillo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Papoe is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Imanol Lopez Morillo - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radu Mihai Papoe
ITF Tournaments
15.03.26	Amit Vales - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Radu Mihai Papoe	Gulin S. retired ✺
13.03.26	Volodymyr Iakubenko - Radu Mihai Papoe	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Ewen Lumsden - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Nicolas Jadoun - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 W?WWW
- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.26	Lucca Helguera Casado - Imanol Lopez Morillo	Lopez Morillo I. retired ✺
05.02.26	Eudald Gonzalez - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LW?LW

Radu Mihai Papoe - Imanol Lopez Morillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide