Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Rafael De Alba		Matt Kuhar

	1	2
			Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.66	1.24	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.57	1.25	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.28)	1.27 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael De Alba
26.5%

Matt Kuhar
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael De Alba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael De Alba's form might have worsened.

Matt Kuhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matt Kuhar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael De Alba than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael De Alba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matt Kuhar than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matt Kuhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rafael De Alba - Matt Kuhar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kuhar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kuhar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Alba is ranked ATP: 1131. Kuhar is ranked ATP: 797.

Recent form of De Alba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kuhar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kuhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kuhar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael De Alba
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Natan Rodrigues - Rafael De Alba	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Rafael De Alba - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Rafael De Alba	2:1 ✺
16.12.25	Rafael De Alba - Enzo Kohlmann	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Davide Pontoglio - Rafael De Alba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Matt Kuhar
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Matt Kuhar - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Finn Bass - Matt Kuhar	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	James Hopper - Matt Kuhar	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Ryan Seggerman - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.12.25	Kosuke Shibano - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Rafael De Alba - Matt Kuhar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide