Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Martos, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 June 2026, Thursday


	Rafael Izquierdo Luque		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.68	2.04
	1.68	2.21
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 (1.64)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Izquierdo Luque
56.7%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Izquierdo Luque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Izquierdo Luque than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Izquierdo Luque is ranked ATP: 810. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 577.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gonzalez Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.82%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Thomas Miranda	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Lorenzo Beraldo - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Alejandro Arcila - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Khololwam Montsi	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Ofek Shimanov	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide