Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Rafael Izquierdo Luque		Tiago Cacao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.19)	2.19 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Izquierdo Luque
55.2%

Tiago Cacao
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Izquierdo Luque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Izquierdo Luque's performance.

Tiago Cacao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiago Cacao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Izquierdo Luque than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Izquierdo Luque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Cacao than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiago Cacao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Tiago Cacao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Izquierdo Luque is ranked ATP: 1087. Cacao is ranked ATP: 1077.

Izquierdo Luque has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cacao is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Izquierdo Luque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cacao could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Cacao will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Izquierdo Luque
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Lucas Poullain - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Saul Pacheco - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Patrick Schoen	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Tiago Torres - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Ivan Perez Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW
- Tiago Cacao
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	David Eichenseher - Tiago Cacao	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Tiago Cacao - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tiago Cacao - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tiago Cacao - Joao Antonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW

Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Tiago Cacao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide