Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Rafael Jodar		Johannus Monday

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.30	3.24	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	2.78 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
66.7%

Johannus Monday
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Johannus Monday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johannus Monday than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Johannus Monday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rafael Jodar - Johannus Monday Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 207. Monday is ranked ATP: 212.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Dylan Dietrich	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Johannus Monday
ATP Challenger
31.10.25	Johannus Monday - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Johannus Monday - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Johannus Monday - Ronit Karki	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Johannus Monday - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW

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