Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Patrick Kypson		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	3.12	1.32	Watch
	2.79	1.41	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrick Kypson
31.5%

Rafael Jodar
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrick Kypson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patrick Kypson's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrick Kypson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Patrick Kypson - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kypson will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jodar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kypson: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kypson (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kypson is ranked ATP: 166. Jodar is ranked ATP: 210.

Kypson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jodar is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kypson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.

We predict that Jodar will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kypson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Oliver Tarvet	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Samir Banerjee	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Brandon Holt - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Patrick Kypson	2:0

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