Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Rafael Jodar		Petr Brunclik

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.55	2.56
	1.50	2.52	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)	2.4 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
60.9%

Petr Brunclik
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.

Petr Brunclik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Brunclik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Brunclik than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Brunclik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Rafael Jodar - Petr Brunclik Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Brunclik will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Petr Brunclik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 540. Brunclik is ranked ATP: 466.

Jodar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brunclik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jodar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	George Loffhagen - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Rafael Jodar - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Rafael Jodar	Kodat T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWL?
- Petr Brunclik
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Maximus Jones - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Petr Brunclik - Filippo Moroni	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Petr Brunclik - Peter Makk	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Petr Brunclik - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Calvin Hemery - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

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