Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Toby Alex Kodat		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
			Watch
	3.75	1.21
	3.95	1.21	Watch
	4.34	1.2
	5.20	1.14	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.02	1.22	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.62)	1.23 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Alex Kodat
23.5%

Rafael Jodar
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Alex Kodat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Alex Kodat's form might have worsened.

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Jodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toby Alex Kodat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rafael Jodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Toby Alex Kodat - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Kodat is ranked ATP: 373. Jodar is ranked ATP: 478.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jodar could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Norbert Gombos - Toby Alex Kodat	Gombos N. walkover ✺
06.07.25	Jannik Opitz - Toby Alex Kodat	1:2 ✺
03.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Toby Alex Kodat - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 W?WLW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Ji Sung Nam - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Rafael Jodar - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Matteo Martineau - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Rafael Jodar - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

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