Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UNITED CUP (AUSTRALIA), HARD

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: UNITED CUP (AUSTRALIA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	Nine Network, Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	09:00	SportKlub
Bulgaria	10:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	09:00	SportKlub
France	09:00	beIN Sports
Germany	09:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	08:00	Sport TV
Romania	10:00	Sport Extra
Serbia	09:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	09:00	SportKlub


	Rafael Nadal		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.49	2.63
	1.46	2.55
	1.54	2.62
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	2.61 ↑ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
63.8%

Alex De Minaur
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	0%	11.5%

Rafael Nadal - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Nadal will win (46 of 52 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 97.14%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nadal is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches De Minaur is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nadal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Nadal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP United Cup
30.12.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rafael Nadal - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
02.11.22	Tommy Paul - Rafael Nadal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP United Cup
30.12.22	Alex De Minaur - Daniel Evans	Canceled ✺
29.12.22	Alex De Minaur - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
27.11.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
25.11.22	Alex De Minaur - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Alex De Minaur - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
02.02.21	Rafael Nadal - Alex De Minaur	Canceled
11.01.20	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	1:2
ATP Australian Open
18.01.19	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.18	Alex De Minaur - Rafael Nadal	0:3

Rafael Nadal - Alex De Minaur