Match Info

Date: 3 June 2022, Friday

Location: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Europe	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Russia	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
World	Eurosport 1


	Rafael Nadal		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.33	3.5
	1.33	3.35
	1.35	3.52
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.39	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	3.5 ↓ (3.64)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
72.5%

Alexander Zverev
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.6%	0%	46.4%

Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 153 users predict this event. Nadal will win (votes: 82 - 53.6%). Zverev will win (votes: 71 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nadal: 45.7% – 61.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nadal won 2.

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

In this match Nadal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nadal to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nadal won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.22	Novak Djokovic - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
29.05.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Rafael Nadal	2:3 ✺
27.05.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
25.05.22	Corentin Moutet - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
23.05.22	Jordan Thompson - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	3:0 ✺
27.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
25.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
22.05.22	Alexander Zverev - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
14.05.21	Alexander Zverev - Rafael Nadal	0:2
ATP Madrid
07.05.21	Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Paris
07.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Roma
20.05.18	Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
08.04.18	Rafael Nadal - Alexander Zverev	3:0
ATP Monte Carlo
20.04.17	Alexander Zverev - Rafael Nadal	0:2

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