Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Rafael Tosetto		Daniel Salazar

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.26	1.67
	2.15	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.49)	1.63 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Tosetto
43%

Daniel Salazar
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Tosetto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Tosetto's performance.

Daniel Salazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Salazar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Tosetto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Salazar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Rafael Tosetto - Daniel Salazar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tosetto is ranked ATP: 1135. Salazar is ranked ATP: 857.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tosetto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Tosetto
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Rafael Tosetto - Conner Huertas Del Pino	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Jefferson Wendler Filho - Rafael Tosetto	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Lucio Ratti - Rafael Tosetto	Canceled ✺
24.03.26	Emilio Nava - Rafael Tosetto	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Arklon Huertas Del Pino - Rafael Tosetto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LW?LW
- Daniel Salazar
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Daniel Salazar - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Juan Sebastian Osorio - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Maximo Zeitune - Daniel Salazar	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Christian Langmo - Daniel Salazar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWWL

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