Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maringa 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maringa 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Rafael Tosetto		Ignacio Monzon

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.95	1.38
	2.86	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.87)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Tosetto
32.1%

Ignacio Monzon
67.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Tosetto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ignacio Monzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Tosetto than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael Tosetto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Monzon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rafael Tosetto - Ignacio Monzon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tosetto is ranked ATP: 863., and Monzon is ranked ATP: 569..

Recent results have been tough for Tosetto (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Monzon has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Monzon carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tosetto has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Tosetto
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Rafael Tosetto - Jose Pereira	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Rafael Tosetto - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Rafael Tosetto - Jefferson Wendler Filho	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Jefferson Wendler Filho - Rafael Tosetto	Wendler Filho J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWL?
- Ignacio Monzon
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Dmitry Popko - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Vano Losaberidze - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Dmitry Bessonov - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Vardan Manukyan - Ignacio Monzon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.24	Rafael Tosetto - Ignacio Monzon	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Monzon
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Ignacio Monzon - Nicolas Bruna	✺

Rafael Tosetto - Ignacio Monzon