Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Asuncion, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Rafael Tosetto		Maxwell Exsted

	1	2
	3.40	1.26
	3.40	1.27
	3.97	1.26
	2.97	1.23	Watch
	3.9	1.24
	3.41	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.7)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Tosetto
26.3%

Maxwell Exsted
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Tosetto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Tosetto's form might have worsened.

Maxwell Exsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxwell Exsted's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Tosetto than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rafael Tosetto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxwell Exsted than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxwell Exsted, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rafael Tosetto - Maxwell Exsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tosetto is ranked ATP: 1004. Exsted is ranked ATP: 995.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tosetto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Exsted is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Tosetto
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Rafael Tosetto - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Rafael Tosetto	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Rafael Tosetto - Juan Sebastian Osorio	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Rafael Tosetto - Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Matias Soto - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- Maxwell Exsted
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Maxwell Exsted - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Maxwell Exsted - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Maximus Dussault - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Maxwell Exsted - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Maxwell Exsted - Ozan Baris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWL

Rafael Tosetto - Maxwell Exsted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide