Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TOULOUSE-BALMA (FRANCE), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Raphael Collignon		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.94
	1.8	1.94
	1.73	2
	1.78	1.94	Watch
	1.75	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)	1.94 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
52.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alibek Kachmazov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Collignon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kachmazov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kachmazov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Bouquier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Raphael Collignon - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Raphael Collignon - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
13.02.24	Raphael Collignon - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
18.02.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Robin Bertrand	Kachmazov A. retired ✺
16.02.24	Matteo Martineau - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
15.02.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
24.01.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Damir Dzumhur	Kachmazov A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?LWW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	✺

Raphael Collignon - Alibek Kachmazov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide