Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2 (France), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Raphael Collignon		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3.34
	1.37	3.21	Watch
			Watch
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.32	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.23 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
70.8%

Calvin Hemery
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Raphael Collignon - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Hemery will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collignon: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 142. Hemery is ranked ATP: 237.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Collignon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Collignon is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Raphael Collignon - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Borna Coric - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Henri Squire - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
11.11.24	Titouan Droguet - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Roman Safiullin - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
15.11.24	Joao Fonseca - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Calvin Hemery - Loann Massard	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Oleg Prihodko - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Calvin Hemery - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
01.11.24	Calvin Hemery - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

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