Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Javato Conejero A. M. (Esp)


	Raphael Collignon		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.48
	1.51	2.61
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.56	Watch
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2)	2.52 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
62.9%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raphael Collignon's performance.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Raphael Collignon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: Raphael Collignon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 199. Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is ranked ATP: 139.

Collignon in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Collignon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Collignon to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ITF Tournaments
18.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
16.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Raphael Collignon - Guy Den Heijer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WWW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Antoine Escoffier - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Renzo Olivo	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL

Raphael Collignon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide