Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Raphael Collignon		Patrick Kypson

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.6	2.44
	3.15	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.47	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.48)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
57.5%

Patrick Kypson
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Collignon's form might have worsened.

Patrick Kypson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patrick Kypson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raphael Collignon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Kypson than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patrick Kypson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Raphael Collignon - Patrick Kypson Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Kypson will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kypson: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Patrick Kypson will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 90. Kypson is ranked ATP: 184.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Kypson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collignon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.84%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Raphael Collignon - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Raphael Collignon - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Patrick Kypson
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Calvin Hemery - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Patrick Kypson - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lukas Klein - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

Raphael Collignon - Patrick Kypson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide